Edit ‘decision_theory/newcombs_paradox’

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osmarks 2024-09-22 20:10:53 +00:00 committed by wikimind
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@ -6,6 +6,8 @@ A CDT agent reasons that, regardless of what happened in the past, they will alw
An EDT agent reasons that their behaviour now is evidence about what the (unobserved) opaque box's contents are - conditional on them taking box A and B, the B very probably contains nothing, and conditional on them taking B only, B very probably contains $10000000. As such, they take box B only and receive $1000000. An EDT agent reasons that their behaviour now is evidence about what the (unobserved) opaque box's contents are - conditional on them taking box A and B, the B very probably contains nothing, and conditional on them taking B only, B very probably contains $10000000. As such, they take box B only and receive $1000000.
The problem is sometimes criticized for artificially "rewarding irrationality" (EDT-like behaviour), but [[Decision Theory/Newcomblike Problems Are The Norm]].
=== Generalizations === Generalizations
The Transparent Newcomb's Paradox variant makes both boxes transparent. The Transparent Newcomb's Paradox variant makes both boxes transparent. This results in EDT no longer necessarily oneboxing (picking only B).